Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.855068 2.147176 2.468348 2.847418 3.282354 3.765546 4.342854
2025-03-09 1.428482 1.804964 2.254354 2.829350 3.544605 4.404145 5.514675
2025-03-16 1.104320 1.507846 2.025669 2.736813 3.685963 4.906909 6.594508
2025-03-23 0.953934 1.395368 1.999321 2.882156 4.135537 5.846499 8.354308
2025-03-30 0.821957 1.280163 1.944625 2.972326 4.514852 6.735712 10.166113
2025-04-06 0.697375 1.151003 1.845088 2.975777 4.761525 7.460458 11.832713
2025-04-13 0.565354 0.985744 1.662372 2.819745 4.736935 7.768844 12.903196
2025-04-20 0.506809 0.928624 1.639265 2.909355 5.105146 8.721061 15.091097
2025-04-27 0.467532 0.897057 1.651950 3.056963 5.583551 9.901708 17.789121
2025-05-04 0.421931 0.846062 1.622202 3.123644 5.926491 10.888348 20.266698
2025-05-11 0.378501 0.791680 1.577492 3.154596 6.205070 11.788251 22.687404
2025-05-18 0.327206 0.713334 1.475973 3.062605 6.239578 12.245757 24.344051
2025-05-25 0.275966 0.628071 1.351270 2.912830 6.153174 12.486671 25.661371
2025-06-01 0.247840 0.587289 1.310517 2.927313 6.395656 13.387919 28.373438
2025-06-08 0.215777 0.532343 1.231902 2.850731 6.439825 13.900564 30.368241
2025-06-15 0.206256 0.527685 1.261718 3.013808 7.014763 15.562412 34.931630
2025-06-22 0.193012 0.511880 1.264076 3.115225 7.466909 17.016885 39.221796
2025-06-29 0.175178 0.481633 1.228406 3.123155 7.708075 18.042173 42.692326
2025-07-06 0.149903 0.427828 1.128204 2.962095 7.533938 18.125192 44.059925
2025-07-13 0.141272 0.416773 1.131980 3.057545 7.985651 19.681108 48.986866
2025-07-20 0.136193 0.414634 1.158135 3.213315 8.605280 21.696183 55.217791
2025-07-27 0.127565 0.400932 1.151962 3.283838 9.018438 23.263210 60.541828
2025-08-03 0.118175 0.383354 1.132746 3.316652 9.337932 24.635915 65.537918